Rubicon Technology Stock Performance

RBCN Stock  USD 2.73  0.02  0.73%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.86, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Rubicon Technology returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Rubicon Technology is expected to follow. At this point, Rubicon Technology has a negative expected return of -0.67%. Please make sure to check Rubicon Technology's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if Rubicon Technology performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Rubicon Technology has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow11.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities640 K
  

Rubicon Technology Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  443.00  in Rubicon Technology on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (170.00) from holding Rubicon Technology or give up 38.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. Rubicon Technology is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.0544% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 45% of pink sheets are less volatile than Rubicon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rubicon Technology is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Rubicon Technology Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Rubicon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.73 90 days 2.73 
about 77.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rubicon Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.47 (This Rubicon Technology probability density function shows the probability of Rubicon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rubicon Technology has a beta of 0.86 indicating Rubicon Technology market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Rubicon Technology is expected to follow. Additionally Rubicon Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rubicon Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rubicon Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rubicon Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rubicon Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.737.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.647.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.857.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.642.853.07
Details

Rubicon Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rubicon Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rubicon Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rubicon Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rubicon Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.86
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Rubicon Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rubicon Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rubicon Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rubicon Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rubicon Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rubicon Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (730 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.26 M.
Rubicon Technology currently holds about 26.51 M in cash with (61 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.76, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Rubicon Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rubicon Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rubicon Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rubicon Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26 M

Rubicon Technology Fundamentals Growth

Rubicon Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rubicon Technology, and Rubicon Technology fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rubicon Pink Sheet performance.

About Rubicon Technology Performance

By examining Rubicon Technology's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Rubicon Technology's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Rubicon Technology is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Rubicon Technology, Inc. provides monocrystalline sapphire for applications in optical and industrial systems in North America and Asia. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Bensenville, Illinois. Rubicon Technology operates under Semiconductor Equipment Materials classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 13 people.

Things to note about Rubicon Technology performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rubicon Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Rubicon Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rubicon Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rubicon Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rubicon Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (730 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.26 M.
Rubicon Technology currently holds about 26.51 M in cash with (61 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.76, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Evaluating Rubicon Technology's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rubicon Technology's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Rubicon Technology's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rubicon Technology's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rubicon Technology's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rubicon Technology's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rubicon Technology's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rubicon Technology's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Rubicon Technology's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rubicon Technology's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rubicon Technology's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Rubicon Pink Sheet

Rubicon Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rubicon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rubicon with respect to the benefits of owning Rubicon Technology security.